Source: ZAG Daily

According to McKinsey and Zag Daily, the global micromobility market is anticipated to reach $520 billion by 2035. This projection marks a substantial increase of $360 billion from its current value and $180 billion from McKinsey’s previous estimate for 2030.

The unveiling of McKinsey’s findings precedes a panel discussion titled ‘McKinsey’s Latest Micromobility Market Sizing and Consumer Insights,’ scheduled to be hosted by Associate Partner Anja Huber and Expert Darius Scurtu at the Micromobility Europe expo in Amsterdam.

“The main underlying drivers for our predictions on the global micromobility market are regulation and consumer behaviour,” Darius Scurtu from the McKinsey Center for Future Mobility said.

“We expect that cities and countries will continue to support micromobility to reach their climate targets as one of many “sustainable” modes, and thus further invest in micromobility infrastructure, provide purchase subsidies, or partner with private micromobility operators.

“We also see rising consumer interest to integrate micromobility into their everyday lives, since modes such as e-bikes allow for longer trips and more use cases, and since micromobility will often become the cheaper and more convenient mode of travel compared to private cars, particularly in inner cities.”

Market dynamics

Currently, the top five European countries collectively command nearly 50% of the European micromobility market, totalling a value pool of $29 billion. Among these leading markets, Germany, France, and the UK claim the top spots. McKinsey defines value pools as encompassing one-time vehicle sales along with downstream revenues such as aftermarket services and maintenance.

Attributing the dominance of these markets to factors like population size, pricing of micromobility vehicles, and existing bicycle infrastructure, McKinsey predicts market consolidation over the next three years, with slower uptake compared to initial forecasts due to subdued consumer demand.

E-bikes and consumer preferences

McKinsey’s research also reveals that e-bikes presently constitute nearly 40% of Europe’s micromobility market, valued at approximately $22 billion. This segment is projected to grow at a rate of 13% annually, reaching $110 billion by 2035. The increasing preference for e-bikes is evident from consumers’ willingness to spend 9% more on their next bicycle purchase, driven by factors like convenience and expanding use cases.

Darius emphasized the versatility of e-bikes, which cater to various needs effortlessly, making them more appealing to consumers compared to conventional bikes or other micromobility options. Their Mobility Consumer Survey from 2024 indicates that a majority of e-bike owners use their vehicles for everyday commuting, underscoring its popularity among global consumers.